Calm about the wrong things

26 per cent - a rise of 10 per cent in just three months - do not believe the world is getting hotter. link
I really didn't see this coming. Apparently a decreasing number of people accept the idea of manmade climate change. A couple of screw-ups and a bit of fudging by some researchers has invalidated the whole concept for a lot of people and apparently that's giving the Conservative Party some political cover to back off on their pledges to do something about CO2 levels if (when) they get into power (link).
What's strange to me - so strange I can't get my head round it - is that this is equivalent to an asteroid heading towards Earth. Some people say it's big and will kill billions of people and render huge areas uninhabitable for humans. Others say it's not there or it's tiny. But then you talk to the top thousand astronomers and find they're as-near-as-makes-no-difference unanimous that it's at the very least medium-sized, will definitely create an unprecedented catastrophe for the human race and it's on its way.
But if it were an asteroid, I can't help thinking most ordinary non-scientists would be freaking out rather than confidently blasé and they'd be clamouring for more telescopes right now and demanding definite answers with frantic urgency.
And if, instead of climate changes that threaten billions, this was a terrorist plot threatening a few thousand, we'd have happily turned our world upside down attempting to combat it.
I understand that a lot of people are sceptical about manmade climate change, but very few of them truly know what they are talking about. And practically all of the people who do know what they're talking about are saying that a global catastrophe is just around the corner. We're as certain of manmade climate change as we were uncertain about Iraqi WMD and yet the response to non-existent missiles is orders of magniture greater than our attempt to protect our future. Where is our national ability to get into a lather when it finally might do some good? If only climate change was suspected of causing AIDS, cancer or Bird/Swine flu. And was exacerbated by GM crops in those who'd received the MMR jab. Then we'd see some public concern.
Comments: 4
I suspect the declining numbers has more to do with a general public that is tuning out because we eventually become desensitized to an idea when it is being rammed down our throats 24-7 by our 24-hour news cycle. It's like when you're watching television and you see yet another commercial asking you to send money for a starving child in (insert country here). People see it all the time on every channel, so they just change the channel. I suspect that people are changing the channel on climate change because there is no consensus to do anything about it among global leaders and really, the IPCC has already said it can't be reversed no matter what humanity does so basically we're screwed. Until something DIRECTLY impacts people, they rarely become involved.
Posted by: Sean Cummings on February 7, 2010 09:16 AM
Good post. It amazes me how people who know little/nothing about climate science (or any science) would rather trust their own opinions (and those of certain sectors of the media) than those of scientists who actually _do_ know the subject. Just another example of the rather scary "me-me" irrationality and nasty cynicism that are growing in this country.
Posted by: Wendy AM Prosser on February 7, 2010 09:33 AM
One thing which exasperates me in this debate is that people repeatedly confuse climate with weather, and attempt to use episodes like our recent snowy weather as a way to "prove" that climate change isn't happening.
I've been reading evidence of climate change since the mid 1980s now, and remain convinced that it's happening, and it presents us with a major threat.
Posted by: Jane Smith on February 7, 2010 09:37 AM
Take heart in the fact that the Greens are the current favourites to win the Brighton Pavilion constituency in the general election. Notwithstanding the unreliability of any opinion poll, it's the rise of the Greens as a political force (and environmental politics in general) that reassures me that we're not about to go back to the bad old days.
Let's just hope we 'get it' before it's too late to change.
Posted by: George Stirling
on February 8, 2010 05:03 PM