The Snowblog

Last gasp reagonomics

posted by Rob on 27 Jan 2008

Here's a little U.S. politics/economics. Look away if you don't like that stuff. A tax refund is being planned to stimulate the listing American economy. To help, it needs to be spent by the recipients, not saved. One can make sure it's spent by giving it to people who can't afford to save - the ones who are really struggling at the moment. The chart to the left shows what percentage of the rebate will go to each of the five U.S. income bands (click to make the picture bigger). Giving an equal rebate to each band would be bad enough, because America's wealthiest aren't going to spend that money, but giving the richest fifth four times what the poorest fifth get is ridiculous. Yet more free handouts for the rich will do nothing to stave off a U.S. depression. (Paul Krugman's thoughts are here. tricky stats are here)

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Comments: 3


Rob,

Isn't this a function of the fact that the higher up the income bracket we go the greater a percentage of tax revenue each bracket contributes.

Therefore if you are returning tax to tax payers, even if you give the same rate back at each level, the actual amount going to the higher brackets will be much bigger than that going to the lower brackets.

That means the percentage of the tax rebate will thus seem out of kilter. This would be the case even if you simply cut the lower rate of tax or raised the tax free allowances. Its a function of a progressive tax system!

Eoin


Eoin, you're exactly right that that's where the ratios comes from. But who says that stimulating the economy must be done in proportion to tax paid? Personally, I wouldn't deploy the money via the tax system. But a rebate which increased the fairness (in the technical sense) of the tax system - even temporarily - would be much more of a stimulus than one which maintained its fairness.


I don't understand why stimulating the economy has to happen via a rebate of any proportion. It's awful that the poor are getting screwed again, but come on, is it surprising? This is America. The rich get richer and the poor get children.

Also...and the following might be ENTIRELY wrong as I am very sloppy on economist matters...it seems like the reason we are in this mess is that Americans stopped saving and spent like crazy instead, meaning that credit expanded to beyond the reasonable point of payback, meaning that people defaulted on their loans, meaning that all that imaginary money has now turned into real debt that has no locus. How on earth is more disposable income, even a tiny amount more, going to help??

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